GEOPOLITICS18 August 2026· 16 min
Geopolitical Risk Scoring: A Quantitative Model You Can Deploy Today
Most geopolitical risk frameworks remain qualitative and unactionable. This article delivers a reproducible, data-driven scoring model with weighted indicators, calibrated thresholds, and real-world validation across three case studies—so your organization can price risk before markets do.
SOURCES
[1]McKinsey & Company — 'Geopolitical Risk and Corporate Strategy: Global Survey 2024'
[2]World Economic Forum — Global Risks Report 2024 (World Economic Forum, January 2024)
[3]SIPRI — Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Military Expenditure Database 2024 (sipri.org)
[4]ACLED — Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project, Conflict Data API 2024 (acleddata.com)
[5]Drewry Supply Chain Advisors — World Container Index Weekly Report, Q1 2024 (drewry.co.uk)
[6]UCDP — Uppsala Conflict Data Program, Conflict Encyclopedia 2024 (ucdp.uu.se)
[7]Suez Canal Authority — Monthly Transit Statistics Report, January–March 2024 (suezcanal.gov.eg)
[8]Ifo Institute for Economic Research — 'Supply Chain Disruptions and Corporate Resilience: DACH Survey 2022' (ifo.de)
[9]Council on Foreign Relations — Cyber Operations Tracker 2024 (cfr.org/cyber-operations)
[10]ENISA — European Union Agency for Cybersecurity, Threat Landscape Report 2024 (enisa.europa.eu)